New Research from AERDF and ETS Reveals Decoding Threshold is a Key Barrier to Reading Proficiency in Older K-12 Students

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Study highlights the importance of foundational decoding skills and their impact on reading comprehension beyond elementary school, offering new insights into how to support struggling readers.

[Oakland, CA] — 10/30/2024 — Despite expectations that students master basic reading skills by third grade, many continue to struggle with reading into upper elementary school and beyond. A recent study commissioned by the Advanced Education Research and Development Fund (AERDF), a national nonprofit pursuing evidence-based breakthrough innovations to improve PreK-12 education, found that grade 3–8 teachers report that 44% of their students frequently have difficulty reading the instructional materials used in their classrooms.

To gain deeper insight into why so many older students continue to face reading challenges, AERDF’s Reading Reimagined program partnered with ETS Research Institute to further study  an intriguing relationship between older students’ foundational literacy skills and their reading comprehension, which ETS scientists first identified in a landmark 2019 study. The new findings, released today, elaborate on a key factor contributing to the challenges older students face: the decoding threshold. The new report, The Decoding Threshold: Measuring the Roots of Older Students’ Reading Difficulties: New Evidence, shows that this threshold is a significant barrier to older students achieving reading proficiency.

The “decoding threshold” refers to the point at which students can read text accurately and efficiently, allowing them to independently comprehend grade-level text. It represents a crucial benchmark for assessing student reading ability, as it uncovers a potential barrier to comprehension, as the texts older students are expected to read are increasingly complex. The new analysis indicates that students whose decoding skills are below this threshold struggle with reading comprehension and are often unable to show growth in comprehension, even with continued direct instruction.

“We know that many students nationwide are struggling to comprehend grade-level text after third grade – and this study provides critical insight into why some students are struggling, and where they’re getting stuck,” said Rebecca Sutherland, Associate Director of Research for AERDF’s Reading Reimagined program and a co-author of the report. “If a student is unable to decode longer, more complicated text, all of their attention will be devoted to decoding text, and they won’t be able to comprehend what they’re trying to read. The findings give us a clearer understanding of what supports many older students need to read on grade-level.”

Research Findings: The Impact of the Decoding Threshold

AERDF’s Reading Reimagined program, a research and development initiative focused on ending illiteracy by improving instructional resources, collaborated with ETS to explore the importance of decoding skills in reading development. The report was co-authored by ETS Research Scientist Zuowei Wang, ETS Managing Principal Research Scientist Tenaha O’Reilly, and Rebecca Sutherland, Associate Director of Research at Reading Reimagined, a program of the Advanced Education Research and Development Fund. The research used ReadBasix®, a reading assessment developed by ETS, to assess students’ decoding abilities and the impact on their overall reading skills. 

Why Early Identification Matters

According to the report, identifying students who need help with decoding skills early is essential for providing effective interventions. Without these foundational word recognition skills, students are unlikely to improve their reading comprehension, regardless of how much time they spend in the classroom.

“It truly takes a village to solve the literacy crisis,” said Kadriye Ercikan, Vice President of Research at ETS. “This partnership demonstrates the immense impact we can make when research is combined with actionable solutions. The report highlights the critical importance of identifying students who need help with decoding skills. With these insights, teachers can better target interventions—bringing us one step closer to ensuring every student can read proficiently.”

For students struggling with decoding, targeted interventions that focus on foundational reading skills are critical. That is why foundational reading skills assessments designed and validated to measure older students’ decoding abilities are essential for identifying students who need support in this crucial domain. Students whose decoding skills are strong enough to be past the threshold may still need explicit instructional support in other aspects of reading, such as building background knowledge, vocabulary, fostering metacognition, and developing the critical thinking and digital literacy skills that will allow them to comprehend texts of increasing complexity.

For more information on the decoding threshold, visit AERDF’s website and read the executive summary of the report. For a detailed explanation of Reading Reimagined’s research base supporting its efforts, read the concept paper here.

About AERDF

Advanced Education Research & Development Fund (AERDF, sounds like air-diff) is the first national nonprofit dedicated to advancing research and development in PreK-12 education. Inspired by the U.S. federal government’s Advanced Research Projects Agency (ARPA) in the defense, health, and energy sectors, AERDF pursues evidence-based breakthrough innovations through scientific discoveries and inventions that unlock new capabilities for addressing the most persistent challenges in teaching, learning, and assessment. AERDF’s R&D programs – EF+Math, Assessment for Good, and Reading Reimagined – produce generalizable knowledge that can be applied across the sector, technical capabilities that can be embedded in products and practices, and prototypes that offer adaptable solutions to foster student growth – all helping to catalyze broad improvements in education. By prioritizing Black and Latino learners and students experiencing poverty, AERDF ensures that innovations are inclusive and equitable. Learn more at https://aerdf.org. 

About ETS

ETS is a global education and talent solutions organization enabling lifelong learners to be future ready. We advance the science of measurement to build the benchmarks for fair and valid skill assessment. We are committed to powering human progress by promoting skill proficiency, empowering upward mobility and unlocking more opportunities for everyone, everywhere. Our assessment products – including the TOEFL, TOEIC, GRE, and Praxis Assessments – as well as our innovative solutions and subsidiaries help 50 million people each year to clarify their strengths and find opportunities for growth in education, work and beyond. We continue to operate around the world, with offices in 25 locations and operations in 200 countries and territories. Learn more at www.ets.org.

For media inquiries, please contact:

Marvin Smith, Chief of Public Affairs, msmith@aerdf.org 

Yasmene Mumby, Communications Director, ymumby@aerdf.org

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